“Climate security” as a new paradigm of global governance: Mandate expansion or political instrumentalisation?
Abstract
The purpose of this study was to examine the process of incorporating climate issues into the concept of “security” as a politically and socially determined phenomenon that influences the transformation of the architecture of international relations and contributes to the formation of new forms of stratification. The study employed a combination of comparative, discursive, and legal analysis, which enabled a comprehensive investigation of the institutionalisation of climate security in global politics. It was established that the evolution of the security concept has progressed from the military-political paradigm of the Cold War to a multidimensional approach that integrates economic, environmental, humanitarian, and climate dimensions. In this context, climate security has emerged as an integral category that combines elements of scientifically substantiated threats and political construction. Analysis of the activities of the United Nations demonstrated that it has provided climate security with universal legitimacy through the Paris Agreement, the Kyoto Protocol, and other normative frameworks. The European Union has interpreted climate security as the core of its own identity and an instrument of global influence. The United States of America has defined climate challenges through the prism of military power and technological competition, employing laws and presidential executive orders. China, in turn, has integrated climate policy into its own strategies of energy security and economic development, relying on an emissions trading system. Overall, comparative analysis demonstrated that climate security functions simultaneously as a universal framework for global coordination and as a mechanism of new stratification of the international order. It was confirmed that the expansion of the concept of security to the climate sphere serves as an instrument for legitimising new hierarchies, dominated by states with access to finance, technologies, and regulatory standards. Such dynamics are reformatting the international order and forming structural inequalities in the global system. This research can serve as a theoretical and analytical foundation for the further development of international policy strategies that take the climate factor into account in the context of security
Keywords
risks; international discourse; technological leadership; global community; renewable energy sources
References
- A Global Strategy for the European Union’s Foreign and Security Policy. (2019, December). Retrieved from https://www.eeas.europa.eu/eeas/global-strategy-european-unions-foreign-and-security-policy_en.
- Achziger, H. (2025). Climate change and the politics of survival: Tuvalu’s climate diplomacy as securitization. (Bachelor thesis, Lund University, Lund, Sweden).
- Action Plan for Carbon Dioxide Peaking before 2030. (2021, October). Retrieved from https://en.ndrc.gov.cn/policies/202110/t20211027_1301020.html.
- Arias, S.B. (2022). Who securitizes? Climate change discourse in the United Nations. International Studies Quarterly, 66(2), article number sqac020. doi: 10.1093/isq/sqac020.
- Aygun, G. (2024). Human security as a key factor of international humanitarian law. Political Problems of International Systems and Global Development, 2, 129-133. doi: 10.24195/2414-9616.2024-2.19.
- Aykut, S.C., & Maertens, L. (Eds.). (2023). The climatization of global politics: Introduction to the special issue. In The climatization of global politics. Cham: Palgrave Macmillan. doi: 10.1007/978-3-031-17895-5_1.
- Bodewig, K. (2024). Policy development in climate governance – a study of the more and less vulnerable – Guatemalan climate policy development. (Master’s thesis, Malmö University, Malmö, Sweden).
- Çelik, F.B. (2022). The EU’s different faces in climate diplomacy: Leadership, interests, and responsibilities. Journal of European Integration, 44(8), 1019-1039. doi: 10.1080/07036337.2022.2068538.
- COP28 Declaration on Climate, Relief, Recovery and Peace. (2023, December). Retrieved from https://aidmi.org/cop28-uae-climate-relief-recovery-and-peace-declaration/?gad_source=1&gad_campaignid=20719207678&gbraid=0AAAAAp90Ml772dTJNC9P9T5WuQhg03OnX&gclid=Cj0KCQjwh5vFBhCyARIsAHBx2wxtlUtCT7ZvoiRAJIZbIFAcZl98ZmWKRdsDvV1f4IOf6vjKDStKIyUaApQAEALw_wcB.
- Council of the European Union. (n.d.). Fit for 55. Retrieved from https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/fit-for-55/.
- CSET. (2023). National climate change adaptation strategy 2035. Retrieved from https://cset.georgetown.edu/publication/national-climate-change-adaptation-strategy-2035/.
- Daoudy, M. (2021). Rethinking the climate-conflict nexus: A human-environmental-climate security approach. Global Environmental Politics, 21(3), 4-25. doi: 10.1162/glep_a_00609.
- Daoust, G., & Selby, J. (2023). Understanding the politics of climate security policy discourse: The case of the Lake Chad Basin. Geopolitics, 28(3), 1285-1322. doi: 10.1080/14650045.2021.2014821.
- Decision No 1313/2013/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 17 December 2013 on a Union Civil Protection Mechanism. (2017, December). Retrieved from https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dec/2013/1313/oj/eng.
- Department of Defense. (2021). Climate adaptation plan. Report submitted to national climate task force and federal chief sustainability officer. Retrieved from https://www.sustainability.gov/pdfs/dod-2021-cap.pdf.
- Directive (EU) 2022/2464 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 14 December 2022 amending Regulation (EU) No 537/2014, Directive 2004/109/EC, Directive 2006/43/EC and Directive 2013/34/EU, as regards corporate sustainability reporting. (2022, December). Retrieved from https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2022/2464/oj/eng.
- DTIC. (2021). Department of Defense climate risk analysis. Retrieved from https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/html/trecms/AD1172160/index.html.
- Elkhatat, A., & Al-Muhtaseb, S. (2024). Climate change and energy security: A comparative analysis of the role of energy policies in advancing environmental sustainability. Energies, 17(13), article number 3179. doi: 10.3390/en17133179.
- European Commission. (2021a). EU adaptation strategy. Retrieved from https://climate.ec.europa.eu/eu-action/adaptation-and-resilience-climate-change/eu-adaptation-strategy_en.
- European Commission. (2021b). Global Gateway. Retrieved from https://commission.europa.eu/strategy-and-policy/priorities-2019-2024/stronger-europe-world/global-gateway_en.
- FedCenter. (2021). Executive Order 14008: Tackling the climate crisis at home and abroad. Retrieved from https://www.fedcenter.gov/Announcements/index.cfm?id=36448&printable=1.
- Gerosideris, C.H. (2021). Climate change, security and international institutions. in environmental security in Greece (pp. 29-84). Leeds: Emerald Publishing Limited. doi: 10.1108/9781800713604.
- Hardt, J.N. (2021). The United Nations Security Council at the forefront of (climate) change? Confusion, stalemate, ignorance. Politics and Governance, 9, 5-15. doi: 10.17645/pag.v9i4.4573.
- ICAP. (2021). China national ETS. Retrieved from https://icapcarbonaction.com/en/ets/china-national-ets.
- Johnston, K.L. (2023). The U.S. 2022 national security strategy: Balancing cooperation and competition in the next decade. Berlin: Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung.
- Joseph, J. (2023). State, society and environmental security in international relations theory. Fudan Journal of the Humanities and Social Sciences, 16(2), 171-190. doi: 10.1007/s40647-022-00363-9.
- Kazeem, O.S. (2024). Climate change and violent conflict in the Sahel and Lake Chad Basin. Journal of Contemporary International Relations and Diplomacy, 5(1), 74-85. doi: 10.53982/jcird.2024.0501.05-j.
- Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations framework convention on climate change. (1997, December). Retrieved from https://treaties.un.org/pages/viewdetails.aspx?src=treaty&mtdsg_no=xxvii-7-a&chapter=27&clang=_en.
- Kyrydon, A., & Troyan, S. (2022). Strategic compass of the EU political and security sphere. European Historical Studies, 22, 6-22. doi: 10.17721/2524-048X.2022.22.1.
- Lawrence, A. (2021). Reconceptualizing contemporary energy markets. Competition & Change, 25(5), 631-650. doi: 10.1177/10245294211011308.
- Maertens, L. (2022). Climatizing the UN security council. In S. Aykut (Ed.), The climatization of global politics (pp. 143-163). Cham: Palgrave Macmillan. doi: 10.1007/978-3-031-17895-5_8.
- Manners, I. (2002). Normative power Europe: A contradiction in terms? JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies, 40(2), 235-258. doi: 10.1111/1468-5965.00353.
- Maslin, M.A., Lang, J., & Harvey, F. (2023). A short history of the successes and failures of the international climate change negotiations. UCL Open Environment, 5, article number e059. doi: 10.14324/111.444/ucloe.000059.
- McDonald, M. (2024). Accepting responsibility? Institutions and the security implications of climate change. Security Dialogue, 55(3), 293-310. doi: 10.1177/09670106231212149.
- McIntosh, P.V. (2024). Climate change as a “Threat to the peace”: The potential for action by the United Nations Security Council. (Doctoral dissertation, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom). doi: 10.48683/1926.00120143.
- Naz, S., et al. (2022). An introduction to climate change phenomenon. In Building climate resilience in agriculture: Theory, practice and future perspective (pp. 3-16). Cham: Springer. doi: 10.1007/978-3-030-79408-8_1.
- Nazareth, A., Kim, D., & Shawoo, Z. (2024). External power dynamics and international climate governance in a crises-constrained world. Climate and Development, 16(10), 880-890. doi: 10.1080/17565529.2024.2330984.
- Qadeer, M., Kazmi, S.S., & Khan, A.S. (2024). Global economic inequality: A threat tostability and security. Tanazur, 5(3), 156-190.
- Quintanilla, O.A. (2023). The Marshall Islands, Guam, and the figure of climate refuge(e)s. In The Routledge handbook of refugee narratives (pp. 470-482). London: Routledge.
- Regulation (EU) 2020/852 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 18 June 2020 on the establishment of a framework to facilitate sustainable investment, and amending Regulation (EU) 2019/2088. (2020, June). Retrieved from https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2020/852/oj/eng.
- Regulation (EU) 2021/1119 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 30 June 2021 establishing the framework for achieving climate neutrality and amending Regulations (EC) No 401/2009 and (EU) 2018/1999 (“European Climate Law”). (2021, June). Retrieved from https://eurlex.europa.eu/legalcontent/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:32021R1119&from=EN.
- Regulation (EU) 2021/947 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 9 June 2021 establishing the Neighbourhood, Development and International Cooperation Instrument – Global Europe, amending and repealing Decision No 466/2014/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council and repealing Regulation (EU) 2017/1601 of the European Parliament and of the Council and Council Regulation (EC, Euratom) No 480/2009. (2021, June). Retrieved from https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2021/947/oj/eng.
- Regulation (EU) 2023/956 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 10 May 2023 establishing a carbon border adjustment mechanism. (2023, May). Retrieved from https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2023/956/oj/eng.
- Scartozzi, C.M. (2022). Climate change in the UN Security Council: An analysis of discourses and organizational trends. International Studies Perspectives, 23(3), 290-312. doi: 10.1093/isp/ekac003.
- Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030. (2015). Retrieved from https://www.undrr.org/publication/sendai-framework-disaster-risk-reduction-2015-2030.
- Shah, S. (2021). Fear and external military security vs. internal human security: The case of Pakistan. (Doctoral thesis, University of Bath University of Bath, Bath, United Kingdom).
- Sharm el-Sheikh Implementation Plan. (2022). Retrieved from https://unfccc.int/documents/624444.
- Simonsson, F. (2025). Constructing climate migration as a security issue: A postcolonial and securitization discourse analysis of climate migration in the European union and Pacific Islands forum policy frameworks. (Master’s thesis, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden).
- Sjöstrand, J. (2025). Narratives on climate security: How small islands and the European Union securitize climate change in climate summits. (Master’s thesis, Lund University, Lund, Sweden).
- Tayie, M.S. (2024). The environmental security and international conflicts: An analytical and theoretical framework. In AV. Semenov, I.S. Zonn, A.G. Kostianoy, S.S. Zhiltsov & A. Negm (Eds.), Environmental consequences of international conflicts: The MENA region (pp. 21-59). Cham: Springer Nature Switzerland. doi: 10.1007/698_2023_970.
- Tenlik, O. (2025). Climate security and international relations: Analysis from the perspective of critical and traditional security theories. IRASS Journal of Multidisciplinary Studies, 2(7), 12-16.
- The 14th Five-Year Plan of the People’s Republic of China – fostering high-quality development. (2021). Retrieved from https://www.adb.org/publications/14th-five-year-plan-high-quality-development-prc.
- The European Green Deal. (2019). Retrieved from https://commission.europa.eu/strategy-and-policy/priorities-2019-2024/european-green-deal_en.
- The Glasgow Climate Pact – Key Outcomes from COP26. (2021, November). Retrieved from https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings/the-paris-agreement/the-glasgow-climate-pact-key-outcomes-from-cop26.
- The Paris Agreement. (2015, December). Retrieved from https://treaties.un.org/pages/ViewDetails.aspx?src=TREATY&mtdsg_no=XXVII-7-d&chapter=27&clang=_en.
- Tosun, J. (2023). The European Union’s climate and environmental policy in times of geopolitical crisis. JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies, 61, 147-156. doi: 10.1111/jcms.13530.
- U.S. Department of Energy. (2023). Inflation reduction act of 2022. Retrieved from https://www.energy.gov/lpo/inflation-reduction-act-2022.
- U.S. Framework for Climate Resilience and Security. (2024). Retrieved from https://bidenwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefing-room/press-briefings/2024/09/20/a-u-s-framework-for-climate-resilience-and-security/.
- United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. (1992, May). https://unfccc.int/resource/docs/convkp/conveng.pdf.
- United Nations. (2015). Transforming our world: The 2030 agenda for sustainable development. Retrieved from https://sdgs.un.org/2030agenda.
- von Malmborg, F. (2023). Combining the advocacy coalition framework and argumentative discourse analysis: The case of the “energy efficiency first” principle in EU energy and climate policy. Politics & Policy, 51(2), 222-241. doi: 10.1111/polp.12525.
- von Uexkull, N., & Buhaug, H. (2021). Security implications of climate change: A decade of scientific progress. Journal of Peace Research, 58(1), 3-17. doi: 10.1177/0022343320984210.
- WMO. (2023). WMO and the early warnings for all initiative. Retrieved from https://wmo.int/activities/early-warnings-all/wmo-and-early-warnings-all-initiative.
- Wu, B., Peng, B., Wei, W., & Ehsan, E. (2021). A comparative analysis on the international discourse power evaluation of global climate governance. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 23(8), 12505-12526. doi: 10.1007/s10668-020-01180-4.
Suggested citation
Tsybukh, V., & Meleshchenko, T.
(2025).
“Climate security” as a new paradigm of global governance: Mandate expansion or political instrumentalisation?.
Foreign Affairs,
35(6),
87-97.
https://doi.org/10.59214/ua.fa/6.2025.87