Consequences and threats of international terrorism for Ukraine
Abstract
Terrorism is one of the greatest threats to the existence of the world order in the 21st century. Its main features are suddenness, a large number of civilian casualties and a low probability of learning about a possible attack. The purpose of the study is to identify terrorist threats to Ukraine and the possible consequences of this criminal activity. The research was conducted using methods such as comparison, induction, deduction and the analytical hierarchical process. The study identified that terrorist attacks cause many deaths of citizens of a particular country, undermine trust in the official authorities and disrupt economic processes. The main source of the terrorist threat to Ukraine is the russian federation, and after the start of the full-scale invasion on 24 February 2022, the probability of new terrorist attacks in Ukraine has increased significantly. A basic analysis of the activity of terrorist groups on the territory of Ukraine was conducted, and the main consequences of terrorist activity in the political and social sphere in this country were identified. The biggest threat to Ukraine is the loss of independence and sovereignty due to russia's criminal actions, which could result in panic in society and undermine economic processes. The results of the study can be used as a foundation for identifying the main terrorist threats on the territory of Ukraine and developing a state plan for countering possible terrorist attacks. This research can be used as a foundation for comparing the activities of terrorist organisations in other countries against the background of Ukraine
Keywords
crime; blackmail; economy; security service; extremism; society
References
- Acinapura, A. (2023). A framing-sensitive approach to militant groups’ tactics: The Islamic jihad movement in Palestine and the radicalisation of violence during the second intifada. Critical Studies on Terrorism, 16(2), 123-145. doi: 10.1080/17539153.2023.2166656.
- Alfahham, M. (2020). The spread of terrorism in contemporary Islamic history with comparison between past and present. Journal of Xi’an University of Architecture & Technology, 12, 2635-2646. doi: 10.37896/jxat12.03/217.
- Antwi-Boasiako, K.B., & Grant, H.C. (2020). Terrorism and right-wing extremism: History and comparative definitions. Political Preferences, 26, 71-77.
- Asal, V., & Phillips, B., Rethemeyer, R.K. (2022). Insurgent terrorism: Intergroup relationships and the killing of civilians. New York: Oxford University Press.
- Atsam, D., Wario, R., & Okpo, F. (2020). A new terrorism categorization based on casualties and consequences using hierarchical clustering. Journal of Applied Security Research, 15(3), 1-13. doi: 10.1080/19361610.2020.1769461.
- Borum, R. (2004). Psychology of terrorism. Tampa: University of South Florida.
- Brodeur, A. (2018). The effect of terrorism on employment and consumer sentiment: Evidence from successful and failed terror attacks. American Economic Journal, 10(4), 246-282. doi: 10.1257/app.20160556.
- Bunchuk, M. (2016). Economic causes and consequences of international terrorism. Aspects of Public Administration, 1-2, 59-66.
- European parliament declares russia a state sponsor of terrorism. (2022). Retrieved from https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/de/press-room/20221118IPR55707/europaisches-parlament-erklart-russland-zu-staatlichemterrorismus-unterstutzer.
- Global Terrorism Index 2022. (2023). Retrieved from https://reliefweb.int/report/world/global-terrorism-index-2022.
- Goswami, S., & Bhatia, K. (2020). International terrorism. World Affairs: The Journal of International Issues, 24(3), 110-129.
- Gromivchuk, M. (2017). International legal definition of terrorism as a basis for effective fight against it. Terrorism in Modern International Relations, 2, 108-112.
- Kantsir, V., & Serkevich, I. (2017). Determinants of the emergence and activity of organized terrorist associations. Science, 861(1), 447-453. doi: 10.23939/law2017.861.447.
- Li, Zh., Li, X., Dong, C., Guo, F., Zhang, F., & Zhang, Q. (2021). Quantitative analysis of global terrorist attacks based on the global terrorism database. Sustainability, 13(14), article number 7598. doi: 10.3390/su13147598.
- Maksimenko, N. (2018). Modern terrorism: Challenges and threats for Ukraine. Academic notes of TNU V.I. Vernadskyi, 2(29), 6-8.
- Pan, X. (2021). Quantitative analysis and prediction of global terrorist attacks based on machine learning. Scientific Programming, 21, 1-15. doi: 10.1155/2021/7890923.
- Petrechko, O., Zhuravlev, S., & Ilnytskyi, V. (2022). Coverage of the tragedy of flight MH-17 on the pages of the newspaper “The New-York Times”. Current Issues of Humanitarian Sciences, 2(54), 17-22. doi: 10.24919/2308-4863/542-3.
- Phillips, P. (2020). FinTech, terrorism-related fund transfers and behavioral finance. Dynamics of Asymmetric Conflict, 14(3), 226-246. doi: 10.1080/17467586.2020.1821074.
- Quatrehomme, G., Toupenay, S., & Delabarde, T., Padovani, B., & Alunni, V. (2020). Forensic answers to the 14th of July 2016 terrorist attack in Nice. Legal Med, 133(1), 277-287. doi: 10.1007/s00414-018-1833-5.
- Schuurman, B. (2020). Research on terrorism, 2007-2016. A Review of Data, Methods, and Authorship, Terrorism and Political Violence, 32(5), 1011-1026. doi: 10.1080/09546553.2018.1439023.
- The evolving terrorist threat: Adapting the allied response. (2023). Retrieved from https://www.nato-pa.int/ download-file?filename=/sites/default/files/2023-01/014%20DSCTC%2022%20E%20rev.%202%20fin%20%20-%20 TERRORISM%20-%20LARSONNEUR%20REPORT.pdf.
- The Ukraine-russia crisis: Terrorism briefing. (2022). Retrieved from https://reliefweb.int/report/ukraine/ukrainerussia-crisis-terrorism-briefing.
- Thomas, T. (2020). Information weapons: Russia’s nonnuclear strategic weapons of choice. The Cyber Defense Review, 5(2), 125-144.
- Tkach, V. (2015). Modern terrorism: Trends, manifestations, challenges and threats for Ukraine. Strategic Priorities, 3(36), 12-18.
- Yaacoub, J.A., Noura, H., Salman, O., & Chehab, A. (2020). Security analysis of drones systems: Attacks, limitations, and recommendations. Internet of things, 11, article number 100218. doi: 10.1016/j.iot.2020.100218.
Suggested citation
Borko, T., & Vilks, A.
(2023).
Consequences and threats of international terrorism for Ukraine.
Foreign Affairs,
33(3),
43-50.
https://doi.org/10.46493/2663-2675.33(3).2023.43-50