China policy on Taiwan against the backdrop of the Russian-Ukraine War

Andrii Hrubinko; Iryna Fedoriv

China policy on Taiwan against the backdrop of the Russian-Ukraine War

Abstract

The relevance of the study is conditioned by the transformational trends in globalisation policy as a result of russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, especially in the political relations of the People’s Republic of China with Taiwan, which is one of the most important aspects of international security. The purpose of the study is to identify the characteristic features of the Taiwan issue. The following methodological approaches were used: functional, dogmatic, logical analysis, synthesis, deduction, method of legal hermeneutics, etc. The study found that political relations between China and Taiwan are largely determined by the party affiliation of the latter’s leadership. Parallels were drawn between China-Taiwan and russia-Ukraine relations, which are associated with the asymmetry of relations between the two countries. It was found that the russia-Ukraine war serves as a factor that will have a further impact on the development and resolution of the conflict between Taiwan and China. The possibility of resolving the China-Taiwan war will depend on the results of the russia-Ukraine war and the reaction of the international community, especially the United States of America, which is Taiwan’s main ally. The study results showed that the factor that will help reduce the likelihood of China’s intervention against Taiwan is Ukraine’s victory in the russia-Ukraine war; another factor is the active role of the international community in countering russian aggression If the United States and Europe take a passive stance, this will act as a factor that will increase the tension between China and Taiwan The practical value of the findings allows for a causal analysis of the Taiwan issue and the identification of possible solutions to the conflict against the backdrop of the russia-Ukraine war

Keywords

asymmetric relations, conflict, world order, globalisation, party affiliation

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Suggested citation

Hrubinko, A., & Fedoriv, I. (2023). China policy on Taiwan against the backdrop of the Russian-Ukraine War. Foreign Affairs, 33(1), 24-31. https://doi.org/10.46493/2663-2675.33(1).2023.24-31